Certor

Sp Braga – Casa Pia

Primeira Liga · December 29, 2024

Sp Braga 1–2 Casa Pia

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Braga 66% X · 19% 2 · Casa Pia 15%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals2.02 – 0.82
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 28, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.