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Sp Braga – Estoril

Primeira Liga · May 3, 2026

Sp Braga 1–1 Estoril

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Braga 69% X · 17% 2 · Estoril 14%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals2.39 – 0.99
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 2, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.