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Sp Braga – Estrela

Primeira Liga · May 16, 2026

Sp Braga 2–2 Estrela

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Braga 75% X · 16% 2 · Estrela 9%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals2.35 – 0.69
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.