Sp Braga – Guimaraes
Primeira Liga · February 21, 2026
Sp Braga
3–2
Guimaraes
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Sp Braga 59%
X · 22%
2 · Guimaraes 19%
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Expected goals | 1.84 – 0.94 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 15, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.