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Sp Braga – Nacional

Primeira Liga · February 21, 2025

Sp Braga 1–0 Nacional

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Braga 75% X · 15% 2 · Nacional 10%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score48%
Expected goals2.46 – 0.76
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 16, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.