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Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon

Primeira Liga · March 7, 2026

Sp Braga 2–2 Sp Lisbon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Braga 28% X · 24% 2 · Sp Lisbon 48%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.22 – 1.65
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff March 1, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.