Sp Lisbon – Arouca
Primeira Liga · October 8, 2023
Sp Lisbon
2–1
Arouca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Sp Lisbon 75%
X · 16%
2 · Arouca 9%
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Expected goals | 2.22 – 0.60 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
October 7, 2023.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.