Sp Lisbon – Arouca
Primeira Liga · February 15, 2025
Sp Lisbon
2–2
Arouca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Sp Lisbon 80%
X · 13%
2 · Arouca 7%
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Expected goals | 2.64 – 0.68 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 9, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.