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Sp Lisbon – Arouca

Primeira Liga · August 17, 2025

Sp Lisbon 6–0 Arouca

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Lisbon 79% X · 13% 2 · Arouca 8%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals2.62 – 0.69
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 15, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.