Sp Lisbon – Arouca
Primeira Liga · September 19, 2026
Sp Lisbon
2–2
Arouca
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Sp Lisbon 81%
X · 12%
2 · Arouca 7%
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Expected goals | 2.87 – 0.73 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 19, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.