Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia
Primeira Liga · January 16, 2026
Sp Lisbon
3–0
Casa Pia
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Sp Lisbon 82%
X · 12%
2 · Casa Pia 6%
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Expected goals | 2.74 – 0.60 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
January 11, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.