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Sp Lisbon – Estoril

Primeira Liga · January 5, 2024

Sp Lisbon 5–1 Estoril

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Lisbon 75% X · 15% 2 · Estoril 10%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals2.40 – 0.71
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 30, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.