Certor

Sp Lisbon – Estoril

Primeira Liga · February 27, 2026

Sp Lisbon 3–0 Estoril

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Lisbon 82% X · 11% 2 · Estoril 7%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Both teams to score51%
Expected goals3.01 – 0.76
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 22, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.