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Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes

Primeira Liga · May 17, 2025

Sp Lisbon 2–0 Guimaraes

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Lisbon 70% X · 18% 2 · Guimaraes 12%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to score49%
Expected goals2.23 – 0.80
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 17, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.