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Sp Lisbon – Moreirense

Primeira Liga · September 22, 2025

Sp Lisbon 3–0 Moreirense

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Lisbon 78% X · 14% 2 · Moreirense 8%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals2.52 – 0.67
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 20, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.