Sp Lisbon – Nacional
Primeira Liga · February 1, 2026
Sp Lisbon
2–1
Nacional
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Sp Lisbon 85%
X · 10%
2 · Nacional 5%
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Expected goals | 3.02 – 0.61 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
February 1, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.