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Sp Lisbon – Nacional

Primeira Liga · September 5, 2026

Sp Lisbon 2–0 Nacional

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Lisbon 84% X · 11% 2 · Nacional 5%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Both teams to score43%
Expected goals2.91 – 0.62
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 5, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.