Certor

Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave

Primeira Liga · December 28, 2025

Sp Lisbon 4–0 Rio Ave

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Lisbon 80% X · 13% 2 · Rio Ave 7%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals2.66 – 0.65
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 27, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.