Certor

Sp Lisbon – Santa Clara

Primeira Liga · April 3, 2026

Sp Lisbon 4–2 Santa Clara

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sp Lisbon 78% X · 15% 2 · Santa Clara 7%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score38%
Expected goals2.39 – 0.55
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 3, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.