Sp Lisbon – Tondela
Primeira Liga · April 29, 2026
Sp Lisbon
2–2
Tondela
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Sp Lisbon 88%
X · 8%
2 · Tondela 4%
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% |
| Both teams to score | 39% |
| Expected goals | 3.20 – 0.53 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
April 24, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.