Certor

Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax

Eredivisie · October 4, 2025

Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 Ajax

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sparta Rotterdam 24% X · 25% 2 · Ajax 51%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals1.13 – 1.74
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.