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Sparta Rotterdam – Heracles

Eredivisie · January 11, 2026

Sparta Rotterdam 2–0 Heracles

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sparta Rotterdam 55% X · 23% 2 · Heracles 22%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.88 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 10, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.