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St Etienne – Auxerre

Ligue 1 · October 5, 2024

St Etienne 3–1 Auxerre

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Etienne 47% X · 27% 2 · Auxerre 26%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.55 – 1.12
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 4, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.