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St Etienne – Lyon

Ligue 1 · April 20, 2025

St Etienne 2–1 Lyon

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Etienne 20% X · 20% 2 · Lyon 60%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams to score65%
Expected goals1.25 – 2.28
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 18, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.