Certor

St Etienne – Monaco

Ligue 1 · May 3, 2025

St Etienne 1–3 Monaco

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Etienne 18% X · 20% 2 · Monaco 62%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Both teams to score62%
Expected goals1.14 – 2.25
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 2, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.