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St Etienne – Montpellier

Ligue 1 · November 23, 2024

St Etienne 1–0 Montpellier

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Etienne 39% X · 25% 2 · Montpellier 36%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams to score63%
Expected goals1.59 – 1.54
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 22, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.