Certor

St Etienne – Nice

Ligue 1 · March 1, 2025

St Etienne 1–3 Nice

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Etienne 20% X · 25% 2 · Nice 55%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.01 – 1.79
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 28, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.