Certor

St Etienne – Toulouse

Ligue 1 · May 17, 2025

St Etienne 2–3 Toulouse

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Etienne 26% X · 26% 2 · Toulouse 48%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams to score54%
Expected goals1.12 – 1.59
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 17, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.