St Pauli – Augsburg
Bundesliga · September 14, 2025
St Pauli
2–1
Augsburg
final score
What we said before the match
1 · St Pauli 40%
X · 34%
2 · Augsburg 26%
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% |
| Both teams to score | 40% |
| Expected goals | 1.12 – 0.85 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 12, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.