St Pauli – Dortmund
Bundesliga · August 23, 2025
St Pauli
3–3
Dortmund
final score
What we said before the match
1 · St Pauli 19%
X · 30%
2 · Dortmund 51%
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Expected goals | 0.82 – 1.48 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
August 22, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.