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St Pauli – FC Koln

Bundesliga · April 17, 2026

St Pauli 1–1 FC Koln

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Pauli 32% X · 32% 2 · FC Koln 36%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.02 – 1.10
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 11, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.