St Pauli – Freiburg
Bundesliga · March 22, 2026
St Pauli
1–2
Freiburg
final score
What we said before the match
1 · St Pauli 29%
X · 32%
2 · Freiburg 39%
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| Both teams to score | 44% |
| Expected goals | 0.97 – 1.16 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
March 20, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.