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St Pauli – Heidenheim

Bundesliga · December 13, 2025

St Pauli 2–1 Heidenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Pauli 37% X · 34% 2 · Heidenheim 29%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Both teams to score41%
Expected goals1.07 – 0.92
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff December 12, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.