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St Pauli – Holstein Kiel

Bundesliga · November 29, 2024

St Pauli 3–1 Holstein Kiel

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Pauli 44% X · 33% 2 · Holstein Kiel 23%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams to score44%
Expected goals1.27 – 0.87
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 29, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.