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St Pauli – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · April 6, 2025

St Pauli 1–1 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Pauli 31% X · 32% 2 · M'gladbach 37%
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.03 – 1.15
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff April 4, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.