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St Pauli – M'gladbach

Bundesliga · November 1, 2025

St Pauli 0–4 M'gladbach

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Pauli 32% X · 31% 2 · M'gladbach 37%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score50%
Expected goals1.14 – 1.24
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 31, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.