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St Pauli – Mainz

Bundesliga · October 5, 2024

St Pauli 0–3 Mainz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Pauli 31% X · 33% 2 · Mainz 36%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.06 – 1.14
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 4, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.