St Pauli – Mainz
Bundesliga · May 3, 2026
St Pauli
1–2
Mainz
final score
What we said before the match
1 · St Pauli 27%
X · 32%
2 · Mainz 41%
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Expected goals | 0.90 – 1.17 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
May 2, 2026.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.