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St Pauli – RB Leipzig

Bundesliga · January 27, 2026

St Pauli 1–1 RB Leipzig

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Pauli 17% X · 28% 2 · RB Leipzig 55%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score45%
Expected goals0.79 – 1.58
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff January 23, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.