St Pauli – Union Berlin
Bundesliga · November 23, 2025
St Pauli
0–1
Union Berlin
final score
What we said before the match
1 · St Pauli 30%
X · 35%
2 · Union Berlin 35%
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% |
| Both teams to score | 38% |
| Expected goals | 0.89 – 0.97 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
November 21, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.