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St Pauli – Union Berlin

Bundesliga · November 23, 2025

St Pauli 0–1 Union Berlin

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Pauli 30% X · 35% 2 · Union Berlin 35%
Over 2.5 goals29%
Both teams to score38%
Expected goals0.89 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff November 21, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.