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St Pauli – Wolfsburg

Bundesliga · May 16, 2026

St Pauli 1–3 Wolfsburg

final score

What we said before the match

1 · St Pauli 30% X · 31% 2 · Wolfsburg 39%
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score46%
Expected goals1.01 – 1.20
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff May 16, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.