Certor

Strasbourg – Lens

Ligue 1 · February 27, 2026

Strasbourg 1–1 Lens

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Strasbourg 34% X · 27% 2 · Lens 39%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.23 – 1.34
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 27, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.