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Strasbourg – Marseille

Ligue 1 · September 26, 2025

Strasbourg 1–2 Marseille

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Strasbourg 31% X · 27% 2 · Marseille 42%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score53%
Expected goals1.18 – 1.44
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 26, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.