Certor

Stuttgart – Darmstadt

Bundesliga · September 22, 2023

Stuttgart 3–1 Darmstadt

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Stuttgart 70% X · 18% 2 · Darmstadt 12%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams to score60%
Expected goals2.57 – 1.01
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 22, 2023.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.