Certor

Stuttgart – Heidenheim

Bundesliga · October 5, 2025

Stuttgart 1–0 Heidenheim

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Stuttgart 63% X · 22% 2 · Heidenheim 15%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams to score56%
Expected goals2.15 – 0.97
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 3, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.