Certor

Stuttgart – Mainz

Bundesliga · February 11, 2024

Stuttgart 3–1 Mainz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Stuttgart 51% X · 26% 2 · Mainz 23%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams to score57%
Expected goals1.78 – 1.12
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff February 10, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.