Certor

Stuttgart – Mainz

Bundesliga · August 31, 2024

Stuttgart 3–3 Mainz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Stuttgart 53% X · 26% 2 · Mainz 21%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams to score58%
Expected goals1.82 – 1.11
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff August 30, 2024.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.