Certor

Stuttgart – Mainz

Bundesliga · October 26, 2025

Stuttgart 2–1 Mainz

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Stuttgart 52% X · 25% 2 · Mainz 23%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams to score59%
Expected goals1.83 – 1.15
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff October 24, 2025.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.