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Sunderland – Arsenal

Premier League · September 12, 2026

Sunderland 0–2 Arsenal

final score

What we said before the match

1 · Sunderland 15% X · 29% 2 · Arsenal 56%
Over 2.5 goals33%
Both teams to score36%
Expected goals0.62 – 1.42
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff September 12, 2026.
This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.

A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.