Sunderland – Aston Villa
Premier League · September 21, 2025
Sunderland
1–1
Aston Villa
final score
What we said before the match
1 · Sunderland 27%
X · 32%
2 · Aston Villa 41%
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% |
| Both teams to score | 37% |
| Expected goals | 0.81 – 1.08 |
These probabilities were produced before the match, using only data known up to that date, and were never changed afterwards. Model
dc_timeweighted 1.0.0, training cutoff
September 20, 2025.This is a statistical estimate, not advice. No outcome is guaranteed.
A single match tells you nothing about whether a model is good — probability claims can only be judged over thousands of matches. Our aggregate accuracy is here.